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Tuesday, July 16, 2013

The Egyptian Revolution has gone nowhere yet

There appear to be two major factions in the present unrest in Egypt. The first factions appears to want to fashion itself after the secular countries and parliaments of Europe. The others are the Islamists, such as the Muslim Brotherhood, which is typical of Islamic parties which want to win control of countries all over the Middle-east.
The military, which ousted President Mohamed Morsy which pleased the more secular faction, has led to military rule. Egypt does not have the parliamentary traditions of Europe and such a coup would not have been welcomed there. This shows that the Egyptian military is still a major political power and with out replacing it with a new “people’s army” then the people there are likely to just get duped over and over again as the same power structure simply rearranges itself to pacify the masses. That means the real power structure of the country hasn’t changed but the majority of the people just haven’t caught on yet. This “Arab Spring” removed one dictator, Hosni Mubarak, but not the structure and system that relied on him. This revolution is at this time a farce. As with the false revolutions in Libya and Syria, it is easy to mistake distaste for a dictator for an actual revolution, when in fact it is nothing more than a reshuffling of the same system, same army, and same police.
This may well be a good exercise for the people as they may actually learn something from all of this. But it will probably take many years and the process has not come together yet.
So at this time there are no clear winners in the Egyptian struggle. There are a few Marxist parties, but their influence is not a major factor at this time. There are just factional battles and the struggle for democracy is miles away from becoming a reality.

-សតិវ អតុ

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