Iran dissent is factional change - not a revolution

The US media and government continue to be titillated by the unrest in Iran. The mass demonstrations seem real enough and probably don’t need help from the west, although the US would love to be involved. The reality is that this is probably not going to lead to a real revolution, but simply allow a different faction to take control of the presidency.


However, the Maoist in Iran are encouraging the uprising and hoping for more than just a different president. Here is a document from the website of the Communist Party of Iran (Marxist-Leninist-Maoist):

You wanted a fight? Let’s fight!

Following is a leaflet issued 15 June by the Communist Party of Iran (Marxist-Leninist-Maoist). The title is a challenge to the regime.

Rebellion, revolutionary situation, an explosion of the hatred felt by millions of people throughout the country: it doesn't matter what you call the recent events. What matters is that we have entered a new period. Many bridges have been broken and in many spheres there is no return to past. The young women and men fighting courageously in the streets reflect the discontent and anger of three generations. Faces are bloody, bodies bruised, but nobody is talking about retreat or surrender. Armed-to-the-teeth mercenaries and herds of lumpen are wandering the streets but nobody pays any attention to them. Parents accompany their children in the streets. The initial shock and demoralization is rapidly disappearing.

In the mind of millions, the Islamic Republic of Iran's disgrace in the election farce has discredited the "possibility of change and the rectification of the regime from within" far more rapidly and effectively than any political debate and reasoning. The leading faction took a serious gamble with this. And now may of the rebellious youth are thinking about ways for effectively getting rid of the regime.

There was a clear example of this yesterday in the students' response to Zahra Rahnavard [married to Mir-Hossein Mousavi] who had gone to [Tehran] university to calm them down: "We didn't come to battle for the presidency of Mousavi, we have come to defeat the coup and smash the dictators' set-up".
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